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- BCI Forecaster Report: Australia (August 2023 – October 2023)
BCI Forecaster Report: Australia (August 2023 – October 2023)
Information utilised in this report is current as of 1 August 2023.
Mengenai
BCI Forecaster ialah penunjuk bulanan utama bagi nilai kontrak pembinaan yang melanda pasaran dalam tempoh tiga bulan akan datang. Nilai permulaan pembinaan dibentangkan di seluruh Australia, dipecahkan mengikut pembinaan sivil dan bangunan serta oleh lima negeri utama dan enam sektor/kategori projek bangunan utama.
Ramalan jangka pendek digambarkan dengan membezakan tinjauan segera tiga bulan berbanding tiga bulan sebelumnya. Aliran jangka panjang ditunjukkan dengan membezakan nilai permulaan pembinaan dua belas bulan, berakhir tiga bulan, berbanding tempoh 12 bulan yang sepadan setahun sebelumnya.
BCI Forecaster ialah alat perancangan jangka pendek yang sangat diperlukan, membenarkan pembuat keputusan untuk menetapkan matlamat dan parameter yang realistik untuk pasukan jualan dan operasi mereka.
Data is based on projects reported on a daily basis by BCI Central’s real-time project leads database, LeadManager.
Syot kilat
Tinjauan
The beginning of August marked the second month in a row that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate at 4.1% amidst a decreasing pace of inflation and consumer spending. Nevertheless, the RBA’s statement warned of possible further tightening of monetary policy to meet the long-term inflation target of 2-3%.
This month, construction starts activity continue at a positive long-term trajectory, although the short-term comparison against the previous three months yields a downward trend due to preceding high-value projects.
Sektor Bangunan
Building construction starts continue to lift total starts and offset the softness in the civil category. The resulting reading shows higher than average values in the most recent months as well as a sustained long-term course. Although the residential sector is on a long-term decline, it is showing an upturn this month in the short-term comparison.
Health projects from the community category feature significantly this edition with projects such as the CEP – Logan Hospital Stage 2 (PID 306479017), the CEP – Redcliffe Hospital Expansion (PID 306419017), the New Bundaberg Hospital (PID 306440017), all from QLD, and the Flinders Medical Centre & Repatriation General Hospital (PID 285128017) from SA.
Other than the Atlassian Global Headquarters/ Tech Central Sydney (PID 225060017) in NSW, we have reported the Entrepreneur & Innovation Centre – Lot Fourteen (PID 228786017) in Adelaide, SA. We have also noted the progress of a mixed-use development, the Waterfront Brisbane – Stage 1 (PID 45890021) in QLD.
Sektor Awam
With civil projects peaking in the previous months, there has not been much evidence recently of new projects beginning. Despite this, there are substantial projects being lined up but are awaiting builder appointment.
Still, we have reported noteworthy projects for this edition such as the AUS$1.5bn Rockhampton Ring Road North (PID 91865017) in QLD, and the AUS$ 1.63bn Sydney Metro West Eastern Tunnelling Package (PID 256730017) in NSW.
To view more data for building (residential, community, education, office, industrial, retail and hospitality) and civil (infrastructure, transport, utilities) construction projects, download a copy of our Australian construction industry forecast (August 2023 – October 2023).